Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 11% on 25 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 73 daily closes on record from 25 Apr 2026 to 6 Jul 2026, the highest close was 11% on 25 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Jul 2026. $3.37M traded over the market's life.
529 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 7, 9:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 73 points, 25 Apr 2026 – 6 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | 11.0% |
| 6 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.85M |
| timetowander | Yes | 630.54K |
| alwayslatetotheparty | Yes | 86.41K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-golden-boot-winner
| Yes |
| 46.52K |
| kokoko025 | Yes | 37.58K |
| Watery-Collapse | Yes | 37K |
| DavidShekel | Yes | 33.51K |
| Themagician07 | Yes | 30.8K |
| LYnetLY | Yes | 27.57K |
| djokowin | Yes | 25.5K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
