Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 2 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 7.5% on 3 Nov 2025 and the low 0.1% on 22 Feb 2026.
61 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 9:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 135 points · 2 Nov 2025 – 15 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | 6.5% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 653.8K |
| DickTurbin | Yes | 80.64K |
| Immense-Predecessor | Yes | 33K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-ncaa-tournament-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 28.45K |
| Trim-Trowel | Yes | 24.36K |
| crudeoilmoney | Yes | 19K |
| Remote-Testing | Yes | 17.22K |
| ERN993 | Yes | 17.11K |
| KerolynRabar | Yes | 8.18K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 6.5K |
