Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 100%; no result has been reported.
Across the 57 daily closes on record from 16 Mar 2023 to 17 May 2023 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 83% on 17 Mar 2023 and the lowest 35% on 16 Mar 2023. A week before that last close Yes was at 50%; a month before, 50%. Its largest one-day move was 48 points up, to 83% on 17 Mar 2023.
$88.84K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is Eminent-Ellipse with 3 shares; the largest No position is Several-Cave with 9K. Ten wallets hold 97.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Mar 20, 8:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 57 points, 16 Mar 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2023 | 35.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Several-Cave | No | 9K |
| andrev07 | No | 2.4K |
| Footlong RazrPhone | No | 1.07K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The market will resolve to "Yes" if Credit Suisse experiences any of the following between March 14 and March 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET: -Credit Suisse files for bankruptcy protection or is being declared insolvent by a court. -Credit Suisse is closed or its operations are taken over by the Swiss government. -Credit Suisse is acquired by, merged with, or its assets & liabilities are absorbed by another entity. -The Swiss government intervenes to provide financial assistance, either in the form of equity or loans, to prevent the Credit Suisse's collapse. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be announcements by Credit Suisse Group AG, the Swiss National Bank (SNB), and/or the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-credit-suisse-fail-by-march-31
| No |
| 437.86 |
| Tan-Mining | No | 400 |
| Minor-Playwright | No | 400 |
| Amber Ledger C03D | No | 328.93 |
| Parched-Centimeter | No | 225.18 |
| Understated-Saint | No | 143.51 |
| Delirious-Occurrence | No | 100 |
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