Will courts block Trump's tariffs by Friday?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 12, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$23.3K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 12, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 12 Apr 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 8 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 8 Apr 2025 to 12 Apr 2025, the highest close was 5.5% on 8 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 11 Apr 2025. $23.34K traded over the market's life.

5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 13, 8:20 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 8 Apr 2025 – 12 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 Apr 2025	5.5%
12 Apr 2025	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
WhitneyHouston	Yes	1.72K
Violet Maven 353A	No	0.02
JDULIA	No	0.02
Colorful-Spectrum	No	0.02

5 of 5 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On April 2, Donald Trump signed an executive order for “Regulating Imports with a Reciprocal Tariff to Rectify Trade Practices that Contribute to Large and Persistent Annual United States Goods Trade Deficits” (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/regulating-imports-with-a-reciprocal-tariff-to-rectify-trade-practices-that-contribute-to-large-and-persistent-annual-united-states-goods-trade-deficits/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the tariffs enacted in “Regulating Imports with a Reciprocal Tariff to Rectify Trade Practices that Contribute to Large and Persistent Annual United States Goods Trade Deficits” by April 11, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of any portion of these tariffs will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.