Analytics
Resolved No on 20 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 50% on 15 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 15 May 2026 to 20 May 2026, the highest close was 50% on 15 May 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 20 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 49 points down, to 0.8% on 16 May 2026. $669.55 traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 21, 1:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 15 May 2026 – 20 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 20 May 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 420.76 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 99.74 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ky-06-democratic-primary-winner
| Mojito9 | Yes | 10 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Rotten-Venti | Yes | 5 |
| i2dt | Yes | 0.01 |
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