Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 62% on 8 Apr 2023. Before it settled, across the 218 daily closes on record from 8 Apr 2023 to 14 Nov 2023 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 62% on 8 Apr 2023 and the lowest 0.3% on 12 Nov 2023. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 7.5% on 24 Jun 2023. $45.44K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 14, 2:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 218 points, 8 Apr 2023 – 14 Nov 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Apr 2023 | 62.0% |
| 14 Nov 2023 | 2.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Solar Horizon 0C57 | Yes | 142.48K |
| Conor McGregor | Yes | 5K |
| LeakySinkk | Yes | 1.53K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Conor McGregor participates in an officially sanctioned UFC bout between April 5 and November 13, 2023 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An "officially sanctioned UFC bout" includes all official UFC events, such as pay-per-view, Fight Night, and any other event sanctioned by the UFC. Appearances by Conor McGregor on The Ultimate Fighter reality TV show will not count towards the resolution of this market. Any announcements made by Conor McGregor or the UFC regarding his return or retirement will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market may only resolve to "No" once its end date has passed and Conor McGregor has not participated in an officially sanctioned UFC fight in that time.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-conor-mcgregor-return-to-the-ufc-by-november-13
| afsGS | Yes | 1.28K |
| cockbreeder | Yes | 100 |
| SuiRonaldo | Yes | 29.74 |
| McWaffle - 2787 | Yes | 15 |
| Insignificant-Array | Yes | 10.77 |
| Fickle-Derby | No | 1.33 |
| Unfolded-Subcontractor | Yes | 0.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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