Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 12 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 6.5% on 12 Mar 2026 and the low 0.3% on 27 Apr 2026. $5.52K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 7:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 12 Mar 2026 – 1 May 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2026 | 6.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Syght | Yes | 363 |
| ma99 | Yes | 100 |
| rabadabadood | Yes | 57.91 |
| Rapid Kestrel 6EBA | Yes | 37.12 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-condoleezza-rice-join-the-trump-administration-by-april-30
| Ostromir108 | Yes | 22.81 |
| subtext | Yes | 18.25 |
| Bronze-Wind | Yes | 16.67 |
| mrxcray | Yes | 12.5 |
| Elborracho | Yes | 12.5 |
| Immaterial-Ginseng | Yes | 10.55 |
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