Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 18 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 18 Feb 2026 to 12 Mar 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 18 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 9 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 8% on 19 Feb 2026.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 12, 8:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 18 Feb 2026 – 12 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 | 49.5% |
| 12 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.29K |
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 1.09K |
| xiweimao | Yes | 137.39 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Elections for Nepal’s House of Representatives are scheduled for March 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the specified party in Nepal’s House of Representatives (Pratinidhi Sabha) as a result of this election. Any seat won by the specified party in this election will count, regardless of the party that previously controlled the seat. Seats that are uncontested in the specified election will not be considered. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Commission, Nepal (https://election.gov.np/np/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/of-seats-won-by-cpn-uml-in-nepal-house-of-representatives-election
| Yes |
| 132.8 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 120.57 |
| mujibi | Yes | 115.65 |
| 0xd0asbr274g27rg | Yes | 100 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 99.99 |
| punuoduan | Yes | 87.67 |
| yishifang | Yes | 85.2 |
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