Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 43% on 9 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 91 daily closes on record from 9 Dec 2025 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 43% on 9 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 11.1% on 10 Dec 2025.
71 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 3:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 9 Dec 2025 – 8 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Dec 2025 | 43.0% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 46.07K |
| moon-k58-lad | Yes | 4.97K |
| cowcat | Yes | 2.88K |
Elections for Nepal’s House of Representatives are scheduled for March 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in Nepal’s House of Representatives (Pratinidhi Sabha) as a result of this election. If voting in the next Nepali election for the House of Representatives does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition. In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Commission, Nepal (https://election.gov.np/np/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nepal-house-of-representatives-election-winner
| Yes |
| 1.32K |
| Sardinianshepherd | Yes | 999.99 |
| rated | Yes | 764.04 |
| mmeowmm | Yes | 644.5 |
| rockr4131 | Yes | 644.13 |
| Asafal420 | Yes | 615.17 |
| crza | Yes | 487.19 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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