
Resolved No on 3 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 0.5% on 9 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 9 Nov 2024 to 3 Dec 2024, the price held at 0.5%. $296.6K traded over the market's life.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 4, 4:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 9 Nov 2024 – 3 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2024 | 0.5% |
| 3 Dec 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 112.75K |
| Kermitbets | Yes | 500 |
| Indigo Oracle 1135 | Yes | 234 |
| kuibysh | Yes | 144 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a negrisk market group over who will be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-billboard-1-pop-star-of-the-century
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| kroksinoksa | Yes | 134 |
| sahno | Yes | 129 |
| Valyaye | Yes | 113 |
| Grud | Yes | 102 |
| Papplli | Yes | 100 |
| Poipu | Yes | 100 |