Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81%. Yes opened at 50% on 18 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 161 daily closes on record from 18 Sep 2025 to 24 Feb 2026, the highest close was 60.5% on 10 Nov 2025 and the lowest 11% on 18 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 58.5% on 8 Oct 2025. $127.2K traded over the market's life.
247 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 26, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 161 points, 18 Sep 2025 – 24 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2025 | 50.0% |
| 24 Feb 2026 | 19.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| leegunner | Yes | 873 |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 870.99 |
| Super-Read | Yes | 459.26 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team advances to the Round of 16 of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from finishing in the top 24 of the league phase), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/champions-league-which-teams-advance-to-round-of-16
| Bold Pulse FB47 | Yes | 305 |
| Emerald Maven 9EC1 | Yes | 300 |
| Coral Oracle 4655 | Yes | 280 |
| Emerald Falcon BBF4 | Yes | 257 |
| Rapid Vector 3518 | Yes | 232 |
| Emerald Tide 0ABA | Yes | 226 |
| Rapid Voyager 49C1 | Yes | 225 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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