Analytics
Resolved No on 19 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 15% on 6 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 165 daily closes on record from 6 Dec 2024 to 19 May 2025, the highest close was 26.7% on 26 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 5 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 4.7% on 10 Mar 2025. $715.79K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 20, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 165 points, 6 Dec 2024 – 19 May 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2024 | 15.0% |
| 19 May 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 32.29K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 560.21 |
| paffinho | Yes | 288.16 |
The Romanian Presidential Election runoff is scheduled to be held on December 8, between Călin Georgescu and Elena Lasconi. This market will resolve to "Yes” if Călin Georgescu wins the 2024 Romanian Presidential Election runoff by 10% or more when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in Romanian Presidential Election runoff. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once the votes count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/romania-presidential-election-margin-of-victory
| Rap | Yes | 116.28 |
| papadou | Yes | 100.64 |
| Dscx13x | Yes | 32.14 |
| Mathiasss17 | Yes | 22.34 |
| Shaflintion | Yes | 19 |
| FGorce | Yes | 12.5 |
| kisqtya | Yes | 12.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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