Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.1% on 12 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 12 Mar 2026 to 1 Apr 2026, the price held at 0.3%. $1.14M traded over the market's life.
110 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 6:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 12 Mar 2026 – 1 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Darknight75 | Yes | 16.67K |
| Rotating-Almighty | Yes | 15.78K |
| mussypeter | Yes | 12K |
| jshed | Yes | 5.73K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular is officially named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran (or a clear direct replacement title for the role) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Mojtaba Khamenei. If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-clavicular-be-irans-next-supreme-leader-by-march-31st
| Forceful-Cabana | Yes | 5K |
| Dandush | Yes | 5K |
| BruceGains | Yes | 4.8K |
| xyzm | Yes | 3.26K |
| irinanitu | Yes | 3K |
| GuruWeb3X | Yes | 3K |
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