Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97%. Yes opened at 83% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 24 Apr 2026, the highest close was 97% on 24 Apr 2026 and the lowest 83% on 22 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 97% on 24 Apr 2026. $14.08K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 25, 7:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 24 Apr 2026, chart shows 80%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 83.0% |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 97.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.9K |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 200 |
| mustbethewater | No | 150.03 |
| Lavincey | No | 95.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/best-ai-model-on-april-24-style-control-off
| nutgood | No | 84.94 |
| neutralwave23 | No | 25.5 |
| hesure | No | 25 |
| Swift Harbor 28C4 | No | 5.59 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| Crimson Tide C6B6 | Yes | 4.98 |
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