Will 'Civil War' gross less than $17m opening weekend?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 20, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$66.2K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 20, 2024 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 20 Apr 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 9 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2024 to 20 Apr 2024, the highest close was 31.5% on 9 Apr 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 14 Apr 2024. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 17% on 10 Apr 2024. $66.23K traded over the market's life.

4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 9 Apr 2024 – 20 Apr 2024

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
9 Apr 2024	31.5%
20 Apr 2024	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	22.57K
iioooiii	Yes	7.93K
Movie_Nerd01	Yes	6.22K
shinguang	Yes	2.1K

4 of 4 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

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