Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 49% on 1 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 214 daily closes on record from 1 Dec 2023 to 1 Jul 2024, the highest close was 75% on 13 Jan 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 25.5% on 2 Mar 2024. $200.7K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 2:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 214 points, 1 Dec 2023 – 1 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Dec 2023 | 49.0% |
| 1 Jul 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| StarweaveR | No | 34.48 |
| charlottechu | No | 11.24 |
| shy | Yes | 1.61 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Circle completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Circle to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Circle merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if Circle completes an IPO by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-circle-ipo-by-june
| mianft | Yes | 1.43 |
| 94857154 | No | 0.78 |
| Distort1796 | Yes | 0.01 |
| CompulsiveGambler | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
