Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 38% on 14 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 125 daily closes on record from 14 Nov 2025 to 18 Mar 2026, the highest close was 38% on 14 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 5% on 15 Nov 2025.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 18, 9:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 125 points, 14 Nov 2025 – 18 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 | 38.0% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 55.02K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 5.96K |
| rated | Yes | 2.33K |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois. If no 2026 Illinois Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Illinois Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/illinois-democratic-senate-primary-winner
| Yes |
| 1.77K |
| paspor | Yes | 1.38K |
| 0xd0asbr274g27rg | Yes | 1K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 815.9 |
| hotpato | Yes | 615.43 |
| Scornful-Conductor | Yes | 427.78 |
| yzhaobk-nrt | Yes | 243.36 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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