Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 26 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 26 Sep 2024 to 11 Oct 2024, the highest close was 12.5% on 26 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 7 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 1.6% on 27 Sep 2024. $21.39K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 12, 3:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 26 Sep 2024 – 11 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2024 | 12.5% |
| 11 Oct 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Juforpresident.x | Yes | 1K |
| Cosmic Ledger E0BD | Yes | 376 |
| Misty Pioneer 27A2 | Yes | 375 |
| Bright Summit 122C | Yes | 351 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Christian McCaffrey plays in the San Francisco 49ers' Week 6 game against the Seattle Seahawks scheduled for October 10, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is canceled or postponed beyond October 13, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". If McCaffrey is cut, traded, retires, or is otherwise officially ruled out for the game, this market will resolve to "No". "Playing" is defined as Christian McCaffrey participating in at least one snap (including kickoffs) during the game. Merely being on the game-day roster will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-christian-mccaffrey-play-week-6
New to prediction markets?
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| Buzdmeg | No | 0.02 |
