Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 32% on 3 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 276 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2025 to 9 Sep 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 32% on 3 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 9.5% on 5 Dec 2025. $1.94K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 9, 3:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 276 points, 3 Dec 2025 – 9 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | 32.0% |
| 9 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.39K |
| Indigo Tide 215D | Yes | 110.7 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 100 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-hampshire-republican-senate-primary-winner-296
| 2kparabellum | Yes | 100 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 78.31 |
| HappyAlpha | Yes | 20 |
| abc1231112441 | Yes | 13 |
| 26lkkdasdsa | Yes | 12.22 |
| ffsFsfq | Yes | 10 |
| Azure Signal 4348 | Yes | 2.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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