Will Chinese Taipei make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 10, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Mar 10, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 10 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 28 Feb 2026 to 10 Mar 2026, the highest close was 50% on 28 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 10 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 5% on 2 Mar 2026.

9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 11, 3:23 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 28 Feb 2026 – 10 Mar 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
28 Feb 2026	50.0%
10 Mar 2026	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
wendypeekaboo	Yes	2.5K
mdgc	Yes	104.99
bjprolo	Yes	99.99
Deafening-Possible	Yes	75

9 of 9 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 World Baseball Classic championship round. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the World Baseball Classic championship round (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 World Baseball Classic championship matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/world-baseball-classic); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.