Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 46.5%. Yes opened at 29.5% on 17 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 9 Jan 2026, the highest close was 53.5% on 9 Jan 2026 and the lowest 18.5% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 30.5% on 31 Dec 2025. $1.72K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 10, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 9 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 29.5% |
| 9 Jan 2026 | 53.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.85K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 398.85 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 380 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 180 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in China as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by in December 2025 (% change from the previous month) according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2025 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in January 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2025 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in December 2025", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate M/M (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports monthly inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/december-inflation-china-monthly
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| rocketcrypto | Yes | 15 |
| hesure | Yes | 10 |
| LHospitals | Yes | 3.33 |
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