Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 51% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2025 to 11 Dec 2025, the highest close was 51% on 10 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.7% on 11 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 50 points down, to 0.7% on 11 Dec 2025. $1.45K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 12, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 11 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | 51.0% |
| 11 Dec 2025 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.15K |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| Vikas09 | Yes | 149.78 |
| mumu456 | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending November 2025 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending November 2025 (% change from the previous month) according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for November 2025 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released on December 10, 2025. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for November 2025 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in November 2025", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/november-inflation-china-annual
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 99.62 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 79.46 |
| Ornjsi | Yes | 20 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 14.99 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 12 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
