Question 1

What is the “Will China increase tariffs on US before May?” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: Will China increase tariffs on US before May? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on Apr 30, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the People's Republic of China announces it will increase or impose additional tariffs on the United States between April 9, 2025, 5:30 PM ET and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Only tariffs specifically targeting the United States will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into China) will not count toward this market's resolution. Any action which is announced within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of if or when the tariffs go into effect. This market's primary…

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

24h volume ($31.4K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Apr 13, 12:26 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 7

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-china-increase-tariffs-on-us-before-may) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Bucket	Close	Mid	Spread	Volume	Trades
Apr 11, 12:00 AM	62.5%	62.5%
Apr 10, 12:00 AM	69.5%	69.5%

Will China increase tariffs on US before May?

Questions about this market