- What is the “Will Chamath launch a SPAC in 2025?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Will Chamath launch a SPAC in 2025? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- When does this market close?
- Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chamath Palihapitiya is listed as a founder of a new SPAC (Special Purpose Acquisition Company) that is filed with the SEC or begins trading publicly between June 18, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No" A SPAC qualifies if it is either filed with the SEC (via S-1) or begins trading on a U.S. exchange (e.g. NYSE, NASDAQ) between June 18, 2025 and Dec 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Passive investment or informal advisory roles will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be SEC filings, however a…
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- 24h volume ($10.59K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
