Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 27%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 2 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 2 Aug 2026 to 21 Aug 2026, the highest close was 47.5% on 2 Aug 2026 and the lowest 27% on 18 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 27.5% on 10 Aug 2026. $428.53 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 2 Aug 2026 – 21 Aug 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2026 | 47.5% |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 27.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for LINK/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the LINK/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/LINK_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance LINK/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-chainlink-hit-in-august
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