Analytics
Yes is at 44%, down 6 points from 50% when the market opened on 25 Aug 2026.
Across the 61 daily closes on record from 25 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52.5% on 1 Sep 2026 and the lowest 44% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 49.5%; a month before, 49.5%.
It is one of 36 markets under “Primera Nacional (Argentina): Team promoted to Liga Profesional (Argentina) (2026)”.
$105 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $12.83, with a 44.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Better-Browsing with 50 shares; the largest No position is Do-Not-Redeem with 105.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 2:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 61 points, 25 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 44.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Do-Not-Redeem | No | 105 |
| Better-Browsing | Yes | 50 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 50 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team achieves promotion from the Primera Nacional (Argentina) to the Liga Profesional (Argentina) for the 2027 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Liga Profesional (Argentina) for the 2027 season through their final standing in the Primera Nacional (Argentina), via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Primera Nacional (Argentina) and Liga Profesional (Argentina). If the 2026 Primera Nacional (Argentina) season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Primera Nacional (Argentina) and Liga Profesional (Argentina). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/primera-nacional-argentina-team-promoted-to-liga-profesional-argentina-2026
23 more markets, none above 49.5%.
| bjprolo |
| Yes |
| 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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