- What is the “Will Carney visit Halifax by October 31?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Will Carney visit Halifax by October 31? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- How did this market resolve?
- It resolved No on 1 Nov 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
- How does this market resolve?
- If Mark Carney visits Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada, between August 19 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Mark Carney physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed municipality. Whether or not Carney enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of Canada (e.g.,…
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
