Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92.5%. Yes opened at 9% on 4 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 4 Dec 2024 to 8 Dec 2024, the highest close was 10.5% on 7 Dec 2024 and the lowest 7.5% on 8 Dec 2024. $31.77K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 9, 8:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 4 Dec 2024 – 8 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2024 | 9.0% |
| 8 Dec 2024 | 7.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 17.05K |
| MoreMoneyMoreProblems | Yes | 2.68K |
| chichi | Yes | 285.9 |
| St-Qc | Yes | 124.26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carlos Sainz wins the 2024 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix scheduled for December 8, 2024, at 8:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If the 2024 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after December 22, 2024, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/abu-dhabi-grand-prix-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| ZmQ | Yes | 40.26 |
| Manutrueno | Yes | 18.18 |
| kali19 | Yes | 16 |
| marksman | Yes | 0.01 |
| b72 | No | 0.01 |
