Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 12, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$16.5K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 12, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 12 Apr 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 41.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 9 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2026 to 11 Apr 2026, the highest close was 58.5% on 11 Apr 2026 and the lowest 49% on 10 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 58.5% on 11 Apr 2026. $16.53K traded over the market's life.

41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 13, 4:18 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 9 Apr 2026 – 11 Apr 2026, chart shows 45%–65%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
9 Apr 2026	51.0%
11 Apr 2026	58.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	4.12K
Aurelius7	Yes	1.25K
Telekinesis88	Yes	479.74
blablabla1990	Yes	406.04

10 of 41 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 4 - April 12, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 26, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Monte Carlo Masters (https://montecarlotennismasters.com/en/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.