
Resolved No on 11 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 10 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2026 to 11 Jan 2026, the highest close was 14.5% on 10 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 11 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 0.5% on 11 Jan 2026. $2.38K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 10 Jan 2026 – 11 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | 14.5% |
| 11 Jan 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.86K |
| CosmicCedar | Yes | 1.05K |
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 250 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winning teams in the 2026 NFL Wild Card round games scheduled for January 10-12, 2026. If any of the listed games are postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If any of the listed games ends is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-nfl-wild-card-parlays-892
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