Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?

politicsResolved

No, settled Aug 28, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.5K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 28, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 28 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 88%. Yes opened at 45% on 7 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 7 Aug 2026 to 28 Aug 2026, the highest close was 45% on 7 Aug 2026 and the lowest 1.6% on 11 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 15% on 8 Aug 2026. $2.53K traded over the market's life.

18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 29, 12:31 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 7 Aug 2026 – 28 Aug 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
7 Aug 2026	45.0%
28 Aug 2026	12.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.29K
Fair-Tan	Yes	128.45
feecenter	Yes	112.98
TENETENET	Yes	100

10 of 18 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.