Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 66.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 17 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 19 Jan 2026, the highest close was 54.5% on 6 Jan 2026 and the lowest 26.5% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 41% on 3 Jan 2026. $1.73K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 19 Jan 2026, chart shows 20%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 19 Jan 2026 | 33.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jade Quasar C580 | Yes | 384 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 302.89 |
| 4yjusrgz | Yes | 256 |
| canucks1 | Yes | 128 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2025 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada. This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by over the 12-month period ending December 2025 (% change) according to the monthly Statistics Canada report. The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2025 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by clicking on the “Consumer Price Index” option under the "Key Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting "Table 1". The relevant figure can be found under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/december-inflation-canada-annual
| thebesttraderever | Yes | 128 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 15 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 14.98 |
| hesure | Yes | 10 |
| rocket661 | Yes | 8 |
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