Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 9 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 77 daily closes on record from 9 Dec 2025 to 22 Feb 2026, the highest close was 47.5% on 9 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 27% on 10 Dec 2025. $70.72K traded over the market's life.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 24, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 77 points, 9 Dec 2025 – 22 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Dec 2025 | 47.5% |
| 22 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 38.72K |
| madmartigan5 | Yes | 3.54K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 2.15K |
This market will resolve according to the country that wins the third most gold medals at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics, scheduled for February 6-22, 2026. In the case of ties, the ordered list for most gold medals won will use most overall medals won as a tiebreaker (e.g. If Norway and China tie for most gold medals won, and Norway wins more overall medals than China, Norway will be ranked first and China will be second). If this also results in a tie, the country whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group, will be ranked higher. This market will resolve based on the medal figures as they stand after medals are awarded for the final event in the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Later changes to medal counts will not be considered toward the resolution of this market. If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are partially completed and then cancelled or postponed after December 31, 2026, this market will resolve based on the gold medals awarded in the completed events. If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are entirely cancelled or postponed after December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-winter-games-3rd-most-gold-medals
| Yes |
| 2.02K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 1.44K |
| anthr0py | Yes | 1.37K |
| GiacomoTrades99 | Yes | 621.99 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 361 |
| flexproblem | Yes | 276.23 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 272 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
