Will Canada win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 14, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Mar 14, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 14 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 22 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 52 daily closes on record from 22 Jan 2026 to 14 Mar 2026, the highest close was 17.5% on 22 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 5 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 0.4% on 23 Jan 2026.

83 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 4:33 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 52 points, 22 Jan 2026 – 14 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–25%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
22 Jan 2026	17.5%
14 Mar 2026	1.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	260.23K
leegunner	Yes	17.31K
Jarebear	Yes	14.34K
cry.eth2	Yes	13.15K

10 of 83 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the team that wins the 2026 World Baseball Classic (WBC). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 WBC per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 WBC tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the tournament organizer (https://www.mlb.com/world-baseball-classic); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.