Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 61%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 22 Sep 2023. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 22 Sep 2023 to 1 Nov 2023, the highest close was 57.5% on 23 Sep 2023 and the lowest 5% on 14 Oct 2023. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 57.5% on 23 Sep 2023. $1.02K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 1, 6:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 22 Sep 2023 – 1 Nov 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2023 | 25.5% |
| 1 Nov 2023 | 39.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 793joel | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canada officially imposes any form of sanctions against India between September 21, 3 PM ET and October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The sanctions could include measures like trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-canada-sanction-india-by-october-31
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