Analytics
Yes is at 97%, up 56 points from 40.5% when the market opened on 21 May 2026.
Across the 150 daily closes on record from 21 May 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.4% on 19 Sep 2026 and the lowest 40.5% on 21 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 88.1%; a month before, 94.6%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 64.5% on 1 Jun 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Will Cambria launch a token by ___?”.
$4.19K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $46.61K since listing. The order book holds $1.37K, with a 3.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $13.59K bought Yes and $1.59K bought No; the largest was a $2K buy of Yes at 95.6¢.
The largest Yes position is CN-FAKER-T1 with 3.5K shares; the largest No position is MaxEnt with 1.6K. Ten wallets hold 67.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 4:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 150 points, 21 May 2026 – 26 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 | 40.5% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 97.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CN-FAKER-T1 | Yes | 3.48K |
| Optimal-Hydrocarb | Yes | 2.79K |
| MaxEnt | No | 1.64K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cambria officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Cambria will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-cambria-launch-a-token-by
| Trevorniu |
| No |
| 1.44K |
| pepescrypto | No | 1.35K |
| fxxkpg | No | 860.14 |
| Lokilaw | No | 833.33 |
| mustanggtd | No | 814.48 |
| iiiwq | No | 811.47 |
| ugugugoool | Yes | 804.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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