Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 54% on 28 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 28 Aug 2024 to 1 Oct 2024, the highest close was 63% on 26 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 63% on 26 Sep 2024. $433.44K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 9:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 28 Aug 2024 – 1 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2024 | 54.0% |
| 1 Oct 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mihonarium | Yes | 772.62 |
| Markogj | Yes | 177.86 |
| eedd | Yes | 75 |
| Lighthearted-Titanium | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
California's SB 1047 AI safety bill is currently being debated in the state assembly. Legislators have until August 31 to pass it, and if approved, the Governor has until September 30 to sign it into law. This market will resolve to "Yes" if SB 1047 AI safety bill becomes law by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the bill does not pass the state assembly by the end of their legislative session on August 31, this market will resolve to "No". Note that if the Governor vetoes the bill, the market will stay open until September 30 to allow for any potential overriding of the veto. If the bill doesn't pass by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM PT this market will resolve to "No."
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-california-pass-sb-1047-ai-safety-bill
| Icy-Barber | Yes | 8.93 |
| Arishkausmanova182 | Yes | 8.62 |
| Dapper-Corduroy | Yes | 6.9 |
| chucko | Yes | 3.64 |
| kaktus | Yes | 2.54 |
| Upbeat-Daily | Yes | 1.85 |
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