Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 18 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 18 Mar 2026 to 22 Mar 2026, the highest close was 47.5% on 18 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 10.4% on 19 Mar 2026.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 7:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 18 Mar 2026 – 22 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2026 | 47.5% |
| 22 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.1K |
| paspor | Yes | 963.61 |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 654.14 |
| Scornful-Conductor | Yes | 279.38 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.” If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-womens-ncaa-tournament-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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| shine | Yes | 120.01 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 55.97 |
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| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 35 |
