Analytics
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“Will Caedrel beat Max Verstappen in Max vs 100?” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Yes and No. It belongs to the event “Max vs 100”. The Yes price is the crowd's implied probability that the question resolves Yes; every trade on the public order book moves it.
Trading is open until Sep 16, 2026. As of Sep 15, 8:34 PM, Yes trades at 4.5¢, a 4.5% implied chance, $144.82 resting in the order book, a 5.0% bid-ask spread.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 25 hourly price points from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 15, 2026 (Yes between 4.5% and 5.0%). Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
"Max vs 100" is a live karting event created by Red Bull, Disney+ and ESPN, scheduled to take place on a purpose-built circuit at Silverstone on September 16, 2026, in which Formula 1 world champion Max Verstappen starts at the back of a 101-kart field and attempts to overtake all 100 other drivers. This event contains two independent markets. "Verstappen overtakes all 100" will resolve to "Yes" if Verstappen overtakes every other competing driver per the event's official format and ruling; drivers who crash out, retire, are eliminated, or otherwise fail to finish count as overtaken. "Caedrel beats Verstappen" will resolve to "Yes" if Caedrel is classified ahead of Verstappen in the event's official final results or, if no full final classification is published, if Verstappen has not overtaken (passed) Caedrel by the end of the event. The two markets resolve independently: Verstappen overtaking Caedrel does not by itself determine whether he overtakes all 100, and vice versa. See each market's rules for full resolution criteria. If the event is postponed, the markets in this event will remain open until the event is completed. If the event is canceled entirely with no make-up, the markets in this event will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for the markets in this event will be the official live broadcast of the event and official results or announcements from the event organizers (Red Bull, Disney+ and ESPN); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-caedrel-beat-max-verstappen-in-max-vs-100
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ means the crowd gives Yes about a 21.5% chance right now. It moves with every trade, so it is a live forecast, not a verdict.
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Dollars resting in the order book, waiting to be traded against. Deep liquidity lets a large order fill near the quoted price; thin liquidity means the price jumps when someone trades size.
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Hourly closes of the Yes price. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
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Market-scoped trader rows are not available for this market.