Will Byron Donalds win at least 50% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 27, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.2K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 27, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 27 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.3%. Yes opened at 38% on 19 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2026 to 27 Aug 2026, the highest close was 38% on 19 Aug 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 21 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 2.5% on 20 Aug 2026. $1.24K traded over the market's life.

6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 19 Aug 2026 – 27 Aug 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
19 Aug 2026	38.0%
27 Aug 2026	2.7%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Imperturbable-Hero	Yes	49.19
Neon Kestrel D874	Yes	26.4
.perseverance	Yes	12.82
TENETENET	Yes	10

6 of 6 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.