Will "Bugonia" win Best Director at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 22, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$4.5K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 22, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 22 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 5.1% on 14 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2026 to 22 Feb 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 8% on 23 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 20 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 8% on 23 Jan 2026. $4.47K traded over the market's life.

23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 24, 12:25 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 14 Jan 2026 – 22 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 Jan 2026	5.1%
22 Feb 2026	0.7%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	4.73K
TENETENET	Yes	991.99
ttj01	Yes	249.98

10 of 23 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The BAFTA Film Awards are presented annually by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts. For the 2026 BAFTA Film Awards, nominations are scheduled for January 27, 2026, and the ceremony for February 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Director category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the BAFTA Awards and the official BAFTA website (https://www.bafta.org/awards/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.