Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 13% on 16 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 16 Aug 2024 to 19 Aug 2024, the highest close was 13% on 16 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 3% on 18 Aug 2024. $1.56K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 19, 9:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 16 Aug 2024 – 19 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2024 | 13.0% |
| 19 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 505.33 |
| Shacker | Yes | 0.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
LIV Greenbrier Winner
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/liv-greenbrier-winner
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