Analytics
Resolved No on 12 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 40% on 21 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 46 daily closes on record from 21 Mar 2026 to 12 May 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 40.5% on 24 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 11 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 0.6% on 29 Apr 2026. $1.94K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 12, 8:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 46 points, 21 Mar 2026 – 12 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | 40.0% |
| 12 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.75K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 149.5 |
| akunai | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The season finale of American Idol is scheduled for May 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the individual who wins Season 24 of American Idol. If for any reason no winner is declared by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source for this market will be the live broadcast of the show, American Idol, and ABC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/american-idol-season-24-winner
| Yes |
| 80.44 |
| Scared-Fencing | Yes | 76 |
| Colorless-Payment | Yes | 45.54 |
| ghoan | Yes | 36.79 |
| a5tthsyuo3c | Yes | 20.01 |
| NoLoyaltyToTheBosses | Yes | 15 |
| Golden Horizon 54D0 | Yes | 5 |
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