Analytics
Resolved No on 11 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 14% on 8 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 8 May 2026 to 11 May 2026, the highest close was 14% on 8 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 11 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 0.1% on 11 May 2026. $1.22K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 11, 7:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 8 May 2026 – 11 May 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 May 2026 | 14.0% |
| 11 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 466.75 |
| FS9 | Yes | 120 |
| Lucky-Port-Interest | Yes | 71.93 |
| pd.unique | Yes | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner, not the team whose record determined the lottery odds. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., “top-5 protected”), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-nba-draft-lottery-1st-pick
| lukamagicman77 | Yes | 13.33 |
| TomerikoKatz | Yes | 6.67 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
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