Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 54% on 21 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 21 Nov 2025 to 18 Dec 2025, the highest close was 79.5% on 11 Dec 2025 and the lowest 2.1% on 18 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 72 points down, to 2.1% on 18 Dec 2025. $3.17K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 19, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 21 Nov 2025 – 18 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 | 54.0% |
| 18 Dec 2025 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Judkins | Yes | 773.12 |
| PolMaxi100 | Yes | 200 |
| mumu456 | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Brian Armstrong is scheduled to participate in Coinbase's product showcase on December 17, 2025 (https://x.com/brian_armstrong/status/1990798715997810957). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Brian Armstrong says the listed term during his appearance at the named event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Brian Armstrong's appearances at the "Product Showcase: Coinbase System Update 2025" event (https://investor.coinbase.com/events-and-presentations/events/event-details/2025/Product-Showcase-Coinbase-System-Update-2025-Cafj9fkLvm/default.aspx). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the specifically listed events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain Q&As, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or relevant footage is otherwise not aired by December 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
| Yes |
| 100 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 15 |
| TimPredicts | Yes | 14 |
| t189 | Yes | 10 |
| hesure | Yes | 10 |
| Yourfavdegen | Yes | 8.56 |
| pillgates | Yes | 7.69 |
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-brian-armstrong-say-during-coinbases-product-showcase
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