Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 54% on 23 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 72 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 54.5% on 31 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 29 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 16% on 26 Oct 2025. $3.41K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 72 points, 23 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2025 | 54.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 314 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 186 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” “Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed). Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution. The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-guests-will-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 124 |
| Shipoo | Yes | 48.28 |
| Blaorra | Yes | 47.73 |
| Kanp | Yes | 41.02 |
| Owwwnn | Yes | 40.03 |
| Rlso | Yes | 35.35 |
| Cronnozzz | Yes | 34.04 |
