Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 45% on 16 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 16 Nov 2025 to 24 Nov 2025, the highest close was 45% on 16 Nov 2025 and the lowest 2.5% on 24 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 28.5% on 17 Nov 2025. $808.01 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 25, 4:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 16 Nov 2025 – 24 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2025 | 45.0% |
| 24 Nov 2025 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 429.53 |
| ew0ny822 | Yes | 261.88 |
| CryptoMahakala | Yes | 21 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Early presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Republika Srpska on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Republika Srpska government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/republika-srpska-presidential-election
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