Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 9% on 7 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 7 Aug 2026 to 31 Aug 2026, the highest close was 13% on 13 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 30 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.8 points down, to 4.2% on 14 Aug 2026. $10.16K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 1, 1:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 7 Aug 2026 – 31 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 9.0% |
| 31 Aug 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.75K |
| crypto-basenji | Yes | 1.53K |
| Bageb | Yes | 1.27K |
| 80sdfs | Yes | 435.46 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the next team Bradley Barcola officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Bradley Barcola does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Paris Saint-Germain". If Bradley Barcola joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Bradley Barcola is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Paris Saint-Germain and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/where-will-bradley-barcola-transfer-20260612224628256
| Messirobinho | Yes | 195 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 174 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 164 |
| ElonMadeMe | Yes | 156.25 |
| balthazar | Yes | 124.11 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 100 |
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