Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 16 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 151 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2024 to 15 Mar 2025, the highest close was 4.5% on 16 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 14 Mar 2025. $1.34M traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 1:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 151 points, 16 Oct 2024 – 15 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2024 | 4.5% |
| 15 Mar 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 89.71K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 72.14K |
| ginho230 | Yes | 1.36K |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the German Bundesliga soccer league for the current season.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bundesliga-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 421 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 400 |
| Silver Sphinx 184C | Yes | 280 |
| Emerald Raven E0D7 | Yes | 260 |
| Zantrox | Yes | 211.82 |
| DuckofDuckberg | Yes | 200 |
| pererobot.chetyre | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
