Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 52.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 107 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2025 to 29 Mar 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 63.5% on 27 Dec 2025 and the lowest 28.5% on 26 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 48.5% on 1 Jan 2026. $25.03K traded over the market's life.
64 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 8:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 107 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | 49.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 47.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DCABC | Yes | 3.74K |
| Indigo Meteor 9001 | Yes | 3.68K |
| xistece | Yes | 1.18K |
This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-which-countries-qualify
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 1K |
| Gtx3060 | Yes | 832.68 |
| Ivory Comet 21A4 | Yes | 355.84 |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 306.44 |
| Gandalf06Andino | Yes | 227.61 |
| Sic | Yes | 210.39 |
| All-Rope | Yes | 185.19 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
